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Michael Kesselring vs John Carlson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Carlson is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: John Carlson sits in the 87th percentile, Michael Kesselring the 7th.

MeasureKesselringCarlson
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals00
Assists01
Ice time per game20:3122:08
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.017 pct0.1148 pct
Shot attempts per game0.57 pct4.087 pct
Goals above expected0.063 pct−0.231 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share42.4%30 pct60.4%74 pct
Chances for per 601.6621 pct2.3853 pct
Chances against per 602.2551 pct1.5683 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0645 pct+0.3679 pct
Creates per 60−0.0626 pct+0.1965 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1272 pct+0.1782 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →