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Noah Dobson vs Barrett Hayton

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Barrett Hayton is ahead on 7 of 10 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Barrett Hayton sits in the 86th percentile, Noah Dobson the 25th.

MeasureDobsonHayton
Scoring · NHL
Points11
Goals00
Assists11
Ice time per game23:0613:23
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0631 pct0.1663 pct
Shot attempts per game3.073 pct2.869 pct
Goals above expected−0.237 pct−0.711 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share41.3%25 pct64.9%86 pct
Chances for per 601.9837 pct3.5392 pct
Chances against per 602.8127 pct1.9167 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0431 pct+0.4182 pct
Creates per 60−0.1221 pct+0.3281 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0860 pct+0.0965 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →