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Jack McBain vs Leo Carlsson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Leo Carlsson is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Leo Carlsson sits in the 82nd percentile, Jack McBain the 14th.

MeasureMcBainCarlsson
Scoring · NHL
Points05
Goals01
Assists04
Ice time per game13:0719:05
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1352 pct0.1765 pct
Shot attempts per game1.531 pct1.531 pct
Goals above expected−0.514 pct+0.782 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.1%58 pct47.9%41 pct
Chances for per 602.6161 pct3.2184 pct
Chances against per 602.2153 pct3.4910 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0543 pct+0.1657 pct
Creates per 60+0.2270 pct+0.3180 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1715 pct−0.1617 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →