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Jack McBain vs Connor McDavid

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Connor McDavid sits in the 74th percentile, Jack McBain the 15th.

MeasureMcBainMcDavid
Scoring · NHL
Points09
Goals02
Assists07
Ice time per game13:0523:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1662 pct0.2273 pct
Shot attempts per game1.738 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected−0.515 pct+0.374 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share64.3%83 pct70.6%93 pct
Chances for per 603.2182 pct3.4889 pct
Chances against per 601.7872 pct1.4587 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1252 pct+0.7195 pct
Creates per 60+0.2673 pct+0.6597 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1419 pct+0.0554 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →