Barrett Hayton vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Mammoth · CBarrett HaytonChange first player
Mammoth skaters
- Nick Schmaltz
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- Anders Lee
- Michael Carcone
- Lawson Crouse
- Logan Cooley
- Barrett Hayton
- Jack McBain
- Daniil But
- Vincent Trocheck
- Mikhail Sergachev
- Andrew Peeke
- MacKenzie Weegar
- Nate Schmidt
- Dmitri Simashev
- John Marino
- Kevin Stenlund
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Hurricanes · LNikolaj EhlersChange second player
Hurricanes skaters
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Sebastian Aho
- Jackson Blake
- Logan Stankoven
- Nikolaj Ehlers
- William Carrier
- Jordan Staal
- Shayne Gostisbehere
- Taylor Hall
- Jordan Martinook
- Jaccob Slavin
- Sean Walker
- Eric Robinson
- Mark Jankowski
- K'Andre Miller
- Jalen Chatfield
- Charles Alexis Legault
- Mike Reilly
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi
- Nicolas Deslauriers
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nikolaj Ehlers is ahead on 6 of 11 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Barrett Hayton sits in the 85th percentile, Nikolaj Ehlers the 31st.
| Measure | Hayton | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 13:38 | 17:21 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1866 pct | 0.3083 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.767 pct | 2.767 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.513 pct | −0.95 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 66.2%86 pct | 52.6%53 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.2985 pct | 1.8731 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6877 pct | 1.6976 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.3879 pct | +0.5489 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.2775 pct | +0.4992 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1067 pct | +0.0656 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →