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Mattias Samuelsson vs J.T. Miller

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

J.T. Miller is ahead on 7 of 10 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Mattias Samuelsson sits in the 89th percentile, J.T. Miller the 7th.

MeasureSamuelssonMiller
Scoring · NHL
Points22
Goals11
Assists11
Ice time per game21:4417:14
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0628 pct0.3690 pct
Shot attempts per game2.357 pct2.870 pct
Goals above expected+0.889 pct−0.87 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.8%58 pct60.3%75 pct
Chances for per 602.4454 pct3.4990 pct
Chances against per 602.0959 pct2.3049 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.2314 pct+0.5991 pct
Creates per 60−0.2112 pct+0.4891 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0237 pct+0.1168 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 538 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →