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Evan Bouchard vs Alexis Lafrenière

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Evan Bouchard is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Evan Bouchard sits in the 99th percentile, Alexis Lafrenière the 44th.

MeasureBouchardLafrenière
Scoring · NHL
Points85
Goals43
Assists42
Ice time per game25:4119:08
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2374 pct0.2374 pct
Shot attempts per game6.098 pct2.664 pct
Goals above expected+3.399 pct−0.144 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share66.8%90 pct53.0%54 pct
Chances for per 603.0077 pct2.6161 pct
Chances against per 601.4987 pct2.3148 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3677 pct+0.6092 pct
Creates per 60+0.2169 pct+0.4289 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1577 pct+0.1881 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →