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Evan Bouchard vs Sebastian Aho

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Evan Bouchard is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Evan Bouchard sits in the 87th percentile, Sebastian Aho the 62nd.

MeasureBouchardAho
Scoring · NHL
Points84
Goals43
Assists41
Ice time per game25:4120:02
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2374 pct0.4294 pct
Shot attempts per game6.096 pct5.394 pct
Goals above expected+3.399 pct+1.799 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share66.8%87 pct56.0%62 pct
Chances for per 603.0075 pct2.4456 pct
Chances against per 601.4985 pct1.9265 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3678 pct+0.6693 pct
Creates per 60+0.2169 pct+0.5594 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1578 pct+0.1170 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →