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Mark Kastelic vs Kirill Marchenko

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kirill Marchenko is ahead on 8 of 10 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Kirill Marchenko sits in the 96th percentile, Mark Kastelic the 8th.

MeasureKastelicMarchenko
Scoring · NHL
Points33
Goals11
Assists22
Ice time per game10:5619:51
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.028 pct0.4796 pct
Shot attempts per game1.015 pct4.391 pct
Goals above expected−0.154 pct−0.96 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.1%73 pct66.2%89 pct
Chances for per 601.9235 pct2.9676 pct
Chances against per 601.2892 pct1.5186 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0235 pct+0.4384 pct
Creates per 60−0.0825 pct+0.3382 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0655 pct+0.1166 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →