Mark Kastelic vs Sebastian Aho
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Bruins · CMark KastelicChange first player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
Another club (its chance leader)
Hurricanes · CSebastian AhoChange second player
Hurricanes skaters
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Sebastian Aho
- Logan Stankoven
- Jackson Blake
- Taylor Hall
- William Carrier
- Nikolaj Ehlers
- Shayne Gostisbehere
- Jordan Staal
- Jordan Martinook
- Jalen Chatfield
- Jaccob Slavin
- K'Andre Miller
- Eric Robinson
- Mark Jankowski
- Sean Walker
- Charles Alexis Legault
- Mike Reilly
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi
- Nicolas Deslauriers
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Sebastian Aho is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Sebastian Aho sits in the 92nd percentile, Mark Kastelic the 8th.
| Measure | Kastelic | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 7 |
| Goals | 1 | 4 |
| Assists | 2 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 10:56 | 20:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.028 pct | 0.3992 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.015 pct | 5.395 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.154 pct | +2.499 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 60.1%74 pct | 62.8%82 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.9235 pct | 2.6662 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.2892 pct | 1.5884 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.0235 pct | +0.7095 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0825 pct | +0.5695 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0655 pct | +0.1474 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →