Mark Kastelic vs Connor McDavid
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Bruins · CMark KastelicChange first player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 97th percentile, Mark Kastelic the 25th.
| Measure | Kastelic | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 9 |
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| Assists | 2 | 7 |
| Ice time per game | 10:56 | 23:44 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.029 pct | 0.2273 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 2.767 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.153 pct | +0.374 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 60.1%71 pct | 70.6%93 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.9233 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.2893 pct | 1.4587 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.0134 pct | +0.7195 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0725 pct | +0.6597 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0657 pct | +0.0554 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →