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Mark Kastelic vs Tom Wilson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tom Wilson is ahead on 7 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Mark Kastelic sits in the 93rd percentile, Tom Wilson the 33rd.

MeasureKastelicWilson
Scoring · NHL
Points31
Goals10
Assists21
Ice time per game10:5617:13
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.029 pct0.1455 pct
Shot attempts per game1.017 pct1.532 pct
Goals above expected−0.153 pct−0.327 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.1%71 pct45.4%35 pct
Chances for per 601.9233 pct2.2445 pct
Chances against per 601.2893 pct2.7033 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0134 pct+0.6091 pct
Creates per 60−0.0725 pct+0.3180 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0657 pct+0.2892 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →