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Mark Kastelic vs Josh Manson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Josh Manson is ahead on 9 of 10 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Josh Manson sits in the 99th percentile, Mark Kastelic the 34th.

MeasureKastelicManson
Scoring · NHL
Points33
Goals11
Assists22
Ice time per game10:5615:34
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.029 pct0.0315 pct
Shot attempts per game1.018 pct1.533 pct
Goals above expected−0.153 pct+0.994 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.1%71 pct67.8%88 pct
Chances for per 601.9234 pct5.2799 pct
Chances against per 601.2892 pct2.5039 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0135 pct+0.1150 pct
Creates per 60−0.0725 pct0.0037 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0657 pct+0.1170 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 532 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →