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Mark Kastelic vs Erik Gudbranson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mark Kastelic is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Mark Kastelic sits in the 73rd percentile, Erik Gudbranson the 40th.

MeasureKastelicGudbranson
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game10:5617:10
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.029 pct0.003 pct
Shot attempts per game1.017 pct0.57 pct
Goals above expected−0.154 pct0.064 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.1%73 pct46.6%40 pct
Chances for per 601.9234 pct1.5317 pct
Chances against per 601.2893 pct1.7575 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0235 pct−0.502 pct
Creates per 60−0.0825 pct−0.511 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0656 pct0.0044 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →