Mark Kastelic vs Erik Gudbranson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Blue Jackets skaters
- Cole Sillinger
- Matthew Knies
- Danton Heinen
- Mathieu Olivier
- Kent Johnson
- Adam Fantilli
- Sean Monahan
- Zach Werenski
- Denton Mateychuk
- Charlie Coyle
- Dmitri Voronkov
- Conor Garland
- Ryan Lomberg
- Valeri Nichushkin
- Carson Soucy
- Jake Christiansen
- Erik Gudbranson
- Emil Andrae
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Mark Kastelic is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Mark Kastelic sits in the 73rd percentile, Erik Gudbranson the 40th.
| Measure | Kastelic | Gudbranson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 10:56 | 17:10 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.029 pct | 0.003 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 0.57 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.154 pct | 0.064 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 60.1%73 pct | 46.6%40 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.9234 pct | 1.5317 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.2893 pct | 1.7575 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.0235 pct | −0.502 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0825 pct | −0.511 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0656 pct | 0.0044 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →
