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Noah Cates vs Danton Heinen

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Danton Heinen is ahead on 4 of 7 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Danton Heinen sits in the 86th percentile, Noah Cates the 12th.

MeasureCatesHeinen
Scoring · NHL
Points00
Goals00
Assists00
Ice time per game12:2911:48
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0212 pct0.3086 pct
Shot attempts per game1.015 pct2.562 pct
Goals above expected−0.150 pct−0.612 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share37.3%17 pct—
Chances for per 601.156 pct—
Chances against per 601.9366 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2666 pct+0.3172 pct
Creates per 60−0.0235 pct+0.1864 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2892 pct+0.1373 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →