Alex Iafallo vs Brandon Carlo
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Jets · LAlex IafalloChange first player
Jets skaters
- Kyle Connor
- Cole Perfetti
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Mark Scheifele
- Josh Morrissey
- Alex Iafallo
- Viggo Björck
- Vladislav Namestnikov
- Morgan Barron
- Brad Lambert
- Neal Pionk
- Adam Lowry
- Isak Rosen
- Cole Koepke
- Mario Ferraro
- Dylan Samberg
- Dylan DeMelo
- Jack St. Ivany
- Tyrel Bauer
- Nino Niederreiter
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Blues · DBrandon CarloChange second player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Connor McMichael
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Adam Jiricek
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Robert Thomas
- Jonatan Berggren
- Philip Broberg
- Colton Parayko
- Jake Neighbours
- Pius Suter
- Ross Johnston
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Alex Iafallo is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Brandon Carlo sits in the 84th percentile, Alex Iafallo the 8th.
| Measure | Iafallo | Carlo |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 1 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 12:26 | 17:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1149 pct | 0.029 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.841 pct | 1.325 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.579 pct | −0.156 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 29.3%8 pct | 63.5%84 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.3912 pct | 3.2384 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 3.3512 pct | 1.8671 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0643 pct | −0.2116 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.1816 pct | −0.296 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2388 pct | +0.0964 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →