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Cale Makar vs Will Smith

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Cale Makar is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Cale Makar sits in the 95th percentile, Will Smith the 7th.

MeasureMakarSmith
Scoring · NHL
Points33
Goals12
Assists21
Ice time per game19:0919:06
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2781 pct0.4796 pct
Shot attempts per game2.562 pct2.766 pct
Goals above expected+0.576 pct+0.679 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share70.7%95 pct28.4%7 pct
Chances for per 603.3086 pct1.3811 pct
Chances against per 601.3790 pct3.4910 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0745 pct−0.1420 pct
Creates per 60−0.0923 pct+0.2270 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1578 pct−0.362 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →