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Cale Makar vs Brenden Dillon

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Cale Makar is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Cale Makar sits in the 80th percentile, Brenden Dillon the 10th.

MeasureMakarDillon
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game19:0914:01
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2780 pct0.0210 pct
Shot attempts per game2.560 pct1.017 pct
Goals above expected+0.578 pct0.059 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share70.7%93 pct61.1%75 pct
Chances for per 603.3085 pct2.3047 pct
Chances against per 601.3790 pct1.4687 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0645 pct−0.2016 pct
Creates per 60−0.0924 pct−0.258 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1679 pct+0.0555 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →