Skip to content

Cale Makar vs Dmitry Orlov

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Cale Makar is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Cale Makar sits in the 93rd percentile, Dmitry Orlov the 9th.

MeasureMakarOrlov
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game19:0918:04
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2780 pct0.0423 pct
Shot attempts per game2.560 pct2.046 pct
Goals above expected+0.578 pct−0.151 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share70.7%93 pct31.0%9 pct
Chances for per 603.3086 pct1.045 pct
Chances against per 601.3789 pct2.3347 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0746 pct+0.0747 pct
Creates per 60−0.0924 pct0.0038 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1680 pct+0.0761 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →