Casey Mittelstadt vs Brock Nelson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Bruins · CCasey MittelstadtChange first player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brock Nelson sits in the 90th percentile, Casey Mittelstadt the 10th.
| Measure | Mittelstadt | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 14:41 | 17:43 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1559 pct | 0.0941 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.841 pct | 1.017 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.610 pct | +0.890 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 54.1%57 pct | 59.7%70 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.1179 pct | 3.1780 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.6435 pct | 2.1356 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0645 pct | +0.6493 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1051 pct | +0.4892 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0434 pct | +0.1680 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →