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Casey Mittelstadt vs Brad Marchand

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brad Marchand is ahead on 7 of 9 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brad Marchand sits in the 77th percentile, Casey Mittelstadt the 12th.

MeasureMittelstadtMarchand
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals01
Assists00
Ice time per game14:4113:10
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1559 pct0.5196 pct
Shot attempts per game1.841 pct4.088 pct
Goals above expected−0.612 pct+0.577 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.1%58 pct—
Chances for per 603.1179 pct—
Chances against per 602.6435 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0644 pct+0.4484 pct
Creates per 60+0.1052 pct+0.6598 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0433 pct−0.2110 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 533 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →