Mario Ferraro vs Brock Nelson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Jets · DMario FerraroChange first player
Jets skaters
- Kyle Connor
- Cole Perfetti
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Mark Scheifele
- Josh Morrissey
- Alex Iafallo
- Viggo Björck
- Vladislav Namestnikov
- Morgan Barron
- Brad Lambert
- Neal Pionk
- Adam Lowry
- Isak Rosen
- Cole Koepke
- Mario Ferraro
- Dylan Samberg
- Dylan DeMelo
- Jack St. Ivany
- Tyrel Bauer
- Nino Niederreiter
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Jaden Schwartz
- Nicolas Roy
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Cale Makar
- Fedor Svechkov
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Sam Malinski
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Brock Nelson
- Brent Burns
- Parker Kelly
- Devon Toews
- Zachary L'Heureux
- Brett Kulak
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brock Nelson is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Brock Nelson sits in the 90th percentile, Mario Ferraro the 23rd.
| Measure | Ferraro | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 3 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 19:41 | 17:25 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0318 pct | 0.0839 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.531 pct | 1.015 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.991 pct | +0.886 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 35.5%15 pct | 47.7%40 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.5115 pct | 2.3349 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.7431 pct | 2.5639 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.1223 pct | +0.5690 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.0627 pct | +0.4389 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0630 pct | +0.1372 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →