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Brett Howden vs Declan Carlile

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brett Howden and Declan Carlile split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is goals above expected: Declan Carlile sits in the 88th percentile, Brett Howden the 1st.

MeasureHowdenCarlile
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals01
Assists11
Ice time per game16:3018:31
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3791 pct0.1249 pct
Shot attempts per game3.376 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected−1.11 pct+0.888 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share70.9%93 pct62.2%79 pct
Chances for per 602.4556 pct3.2183 pct
Chances against per 601.0195 pct1.9563 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.0340 pct−0.3010 pct
Creates per 60+0.0849 pct−0.325 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0532 pct+0.0349 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →