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Sam Steel vs John Carlson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Carlson is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: John Carlson sits in the 65th percentile, Sam Steel the 27th.

MeasureSteelCarlson
Scoring · NHL
Points01
Goals00
Assists01
Ice time per game13:4422:08
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1046 pct0.1148 pct
Shot attempts per game3.072 pct4.087 pct
Goals above expected−0.234 pct−0.231 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share86.2%99 pct60.4%74 pct
Chances for per 602.5759 pct2.3853 pct
Chances against per 600.4199 pct1.5683 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1859 pct+0.3679 pct
Creates per 60−0.0627 pct+0.1965 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2489 pct+0.1782 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →