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Clayton Keller vs Daniil But

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Clayton Keller is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Daniil But sits in the 79th percentile, Clayton Keller the 8th.

MeasureKellerBut
Scoring · NHL
Points71
Goals11
Assists60
Ice time per game17:4711:10
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4495 pct0.1148 pct
Shot attempts per game4.391 pct1.321 pct
Goals above expected−0.88 pct+0.679 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.1%80 pct41.6%26 pct
Chances for per 602.9374 pct2.0540 pct
Chances against per 601.7972 pct2.8723 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7697 pct+0.7195 pct
Creates per 60+0.6097 pct+0.4690 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1679 pct+0.2590 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →