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Clayton Keller vs Samuel Girard

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Clayton Keller and Samuel Girard split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is goals above expected: Samuel Girard sits in the 77th percentile, Clayton Keller the 1st.

MeasureKellerGirard
Scoring · NHL
Points53
Goals01
Assists52
Ice time per game17:3721:07
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4495 pct0.3085 pct
Shot attempts per game4.087 pct4.087 pct
Goals above expected−1.31 pct+0.477 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share61.7%78 pct66.7%87 pct
Chances for per 603.0175 pct3.2484 pct
Chances against per 601.8768 pct1.6280 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7496 pct+0.1456 pct
Creates per 60+0.6196 pct+0.1560 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1375 pct−0.0140 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →