Clayton Keller vs Jake Guentzel
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Mammoth · RClayton KellerChange first player
Mammoth skaters
- Nick Schmaltz
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- Anders Lee
- Michael Carcone
- Lawson Crouse
- Logan Cooley
- Barrett Hayton
- Jack McBain
- Daniil But
- Vincent Trocheck
- Mikhail Sergachev
- Andrew Peeke
- MacKenzie Weegar
- Nate Schmidt
- Dmitri Simashev
- John Marino
- Kevin Stenlund
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Brayden Point
- Pontus Holmberg
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- Jake Guentzel
- J.J. Moser
- John Carlson
- Anthony Cirelli
- Erik Cernak
- Jansen Harkins
- Jeffrey Viel
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Victor Hedman
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Emil Lilleberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Clayton Keller is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Clayton Keller sits in the 95th percentile, Jake Guentzel the 53rd.
| Measure | Keller | Guentzel |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 5 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 5 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 17:37 | 21:10 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.4495 pct | 0.1353 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 4.087 pct | 2.046 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.31 pct | −0.328 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 61.7%78 pct | 47.4%43 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0175 pct | 2.2447 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.8768 pct | 2.4941 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7496 pct | +0.5489 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6196 pct | +0.4992 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1375 pct | +0.0554 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →