Alex DeBrincat vs Zach Metsa
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Red Wings · RAlex DeBrincatChange first player
Red Wings skaters
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Viktor Arvidsson
- Emmitt Finnie
- Lucas Raymond
- Dylan Larkin
- Alex DeBrincat
- Moritz Seider
- Michael Rasmussen
- Andrew Copp
- Justin Faulk
- Carter Mazur
- Axel Sandin-Pellikka
- Nate Danielson
- Marco Kasper
- J.T. Compher
- Ben Chiarot
- Albert Johansson
- Keegan Kolesar
- Anton Johansson
- Mason Appleton
- Andreas Englund
- William Wallinder
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Sabres · DZach MetsaChange second player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Zach Benson
- Noah Ostlund
- Jiri Kulich
- Josh Norris
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Ryan McLeod
- Peyton Krebs
- Josh Doan
- Owen Power
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Louis Crevier
- Olen Zellweger
- Beck Malenstyn
- Sam Carrick
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Justin Danforth
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Alex DeBrincat is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Alex DeBrincat sits in the 98th percentile, Zach Metsa the 18th.
| Measure | DeBrincat | Metsa |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 4 | 1 |
| Goals | 2 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 20:35 | 10:42 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2273 pct | 0.001 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.379 pct | 0.01 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.373 pct | 0.065 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 51.5%50 pct | 51.1%49 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.9937 pct | 2.6962 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.8770 pct | 2.5838 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7296 pct | −0.0726 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6598 pct | −0.1518 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0658 pct | +0.0760 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →