Alex DeBrincat vs Connor McDavid
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Red Wings · RAlex DeBrincatChange first player
Red Wings skaters
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Viktor Arvidsson
- Emmitt Finnie
- Lucas Raymond
- Dylan Larkin
- Alex DeBrincat
- Moritz Seider
- Michael Rasmussen
- Andrew Copp
- Justin Faulk
- Carter Mazur
- Axel Sandin-Pellikka
- Nate Danielson
- Marco Kasper
- J.T. Compher
- Ben Chiarot
- Albert Johansson
- Keegan Kolesar
- Anton Johansson
- Mason Appleton
- Andreas Englund
- William Wallinder
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 90th percentile, Alex DeBrincat the 37th.
| Measure | DeBrincat | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 4 | 9 |
| Goals | 2 | 2 |
| Assists | 2 | 7 |
| Ice time per game | 20:35 | 23:44 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2273 pct | 0.2274 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.379 pct | 2.766 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.372 pct | +0.371 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 51.5%50 pct | 70.6%95 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.9937 pct | 3.4890 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.8768 pct | 1.4588 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7296 pct | +0.7195 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6698 pct | +0.6598 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0657 pct | +0.0554 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →