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Alex DeBrincat vs Alex Tuch

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alex Tuch is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Alex Tuch sits in the 86th percentile, Alex DeBrincat the 14th.

MeasureDeBrincatTuch
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals02
Assists10
Ice time per game21:3017:16
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2578 pct0.6498 pct
Shot attempts per game4.087 pct4.087 pct
Goals above expected−0.514 pct+0.786 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share33.9%13 pct41.3%29 pct
Chances for per 601.2210 pct1.6621 pct
Chances against per 602.3845 pct2.3646 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6694 pct+0.3678 pct
Creates per 60+0.6396 pct+0.2978 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0351 pct+0.0761 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →