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Alex DeBrincat vs Nikolaj Ehlers

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alex DeBrincat and Nikolaj Ehlers split the measures 5 each. The widest gap is chance share: Nikolaj Ehlers sits in the 53rd percentile, Alex DeBrincat the 14th.

MeasureDeBrincatEhlers
Scoring · NHL
Points11
Goals00
Assists11
Ice time per game21:3017:21
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2577 pct0.3083 pct
Shot attempts per game4.088 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected−0.514 pct−0.95 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share33.9%14 pct52.6%53 pct
Chances for per 601.2210 pct1.8731 pct
Chances against per 602.3845 pct1.6976 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6694 pct+0.5489 pct
Creates per 60+0.6397 pct+0.4992 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0451 pct+0.0656 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →