Alex DeBrincat vs Nathan MacKinnon
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Red Wings · RAlex DeBrincatChange first player
Red Wings skaters
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Emmitt Finnie
- Viktor Arvidsson
- Alex DeBrincat
- Lucas Raymond
- Moritz Seider
- Justin Faulk
- Michael Rasmussen
- Andrew Copp
- Marco Kasper
- Axel Sandin-Pellikka
- J.T. Compher
- Nate Danielson
- Anton Johansson
- Ben Chiarot
- Albert Johansson
- Mason Appleton
- Andreas Englund
- Keegan Kolesar
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Avalanche · CNathan MacKinnonChange second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 89th percentile, Alex DeBrincat the 10th.
| Measure | DeBrincat | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 5 |
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
| Assists | 1 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 21:30 | 18:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2578 pct | 0.6498 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 4.087 pct | 7.599 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.514 pct | +0.786 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 33.9%13 pct | 63.4%82 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.2210 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.3845 pct | 2.0161 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6694 pct | +1.2199 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6396 pct | +1.2599 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0351 pct | −0.0335 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →