Skip to content

Alex DeBrincat vs Dylan DeMelo

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alex DeBrincat is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Alex DeBrincat sits in the 98th percentile, Dylan DeMelo the 33rd.

MeasureDeBrincatDeMelo
Scoring · NHL
Points42
Goals21
Assists21
Ice time per game20:3522:03
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2273 pct0.0211 pct
Shot attempts per game3.379 pct1.325 pct
Goals above expected+0.372 pct+0.993 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share51.5%50 pct53.3%55 pct
Chances for per 601.9937 pct2.8570 pct
Chances against per 601.8768 pct2.5040 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7296 pct+0.0846 pct
Creates per 60+0.6698 pct−0.0333 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0657 pct+0.1167 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →