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Auston Matthews vs Kirill Marchenko

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Auston Matthews is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Auston Matthews sits in the 75th percentile, Kirill Marchenko the 6th.

MeasureMatthewsMarchenko
Scoring · NHL
Points53
Goals21
Assists32
Ice time per game22:2419:51
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4093 pct0.4796 pct
Shot attempts per game5.094 pct4.391 pct
Goals above expected+0.475 pct−0.96 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.4%81 pct66.2%89 pct
Chances for per 603.2484 pct2.9676 pct
Chances against per 601.9566 pct1.5187 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+1.0999 pct+0.4384 pct
Creates per 60+0.8499 pct+0.3382 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2488 pct+0.1166 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 550 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →