Skip to content

Auston Matthews vs Brett Pesce

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Auston Matthews is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Auston Matthews sits in the 93rd percentile, Brett Pesce the 12th.

MeasureMatthewsPesce
Scoring · NHL
Points50
Goals20
Assists30
Ice time per game22:2419:47
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4093 pct0.0212 pct
Shot attempts per game5.095 pct2.047 pct
Goals above expected+0.475 pct−0.154 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.4%81 pct60.1%74 pct
Chances for per 603.2484 pct3.0479 pct
Chances against per 601.9565 pct2.0262 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+1.0899 pct+0.0745 pct
Creates per 60+0.8599 pct−0.1220 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2489 pct+0.1983 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →