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Auston Matthews vs John Tavares

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Auston Matthews is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Auston Matthews sits in the 91st percentile, John Tavares the 19th.

MeasureMatthewsTavares
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals10
Assists02
Ice time per game21:2917:12
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3589 pct0.3791 pct
Shot attempts per game4.389 pct3.376 pct
Goals above expected−0.155 pct−1.11 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.8%80 pct33.0%12 pct
Chances for per 603.5891 pct1.6019 pct
Chances against per 602.1257 pct3.2417 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+1.0999 pct+0.3679 pct
Creates per 60+0.8799 pct+0.2876 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2288 pct+0.0965 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →