Auston Matthews vs John Carlson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Maple Leafs · CAuston MatthewsChange first player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Darren Raddysh
- Morgan Rielly
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Brandon Duhaime
- Teddy Blueger
- Jake McCabe
- Troy Stecher
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Auston Matthews is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Auston Matthews sits in the 93rd percentile, John Carlson the 42nd.
| Measure | Matthews | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 5 | 2 |
| Goals | 2 | 0 |
| Assists | 3 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 22:24 | 20:42 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.4093 pct | 0.0942 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 5.094 pct | 3.073 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.475 pct | −0.330 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 62.4%80 pct | 59.1%70 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.2483 pct | 2.3851 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.9566 pct | 1.6580 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +1.0899 pct | +0.3273 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.8499 pct | +0.1661 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2489 pct | +0.1680 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →