Matthew Tkachuk vs Connor McDavid
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Panthers · LMatthew TkachukChange first player
Panthers skaters
- Sam Reinhart
- Eetu Luostarinen
- Matthew Tkachuk
- Brady Tkachuk
- Carter Verhaeghe
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Sam Bennett
- Anton Lundell
- Seth Jones
- Brad Marchand
- Lars Eller
- Niko Mikkola
- Aaron Ekblad
- Garnet Hathaway
- Aleksander Barkov
- Gustav Forsling
- Radko Gudas
- Dmitry Kulikov
- Uvis Balinskis
- Bokondji Imama
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 89th percentile, Matthew Tkachuk the 43rd.
| Measure | Tkachuk | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 9 |
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| Assists | 1 | 7 |
| Ice time per game | 21:45 | 23:44 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3085 pct | 0.2274 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 4.087 pct | 2.767 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.171 pct | +0.375 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 54.9%59 pct | 70.6%93 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.1243 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.7474 pct | 1.4587 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7897 pct | +0.7195 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5795 pct | +0.6697 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2186 pct | +0.0555 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →