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Matthew Tkachuk vs Frank Vatrano

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Matthew Tkachuk is ahead on 10 of 10 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Matthew Tkachuk sits in the 97th percentile, Frank Vatrano the 2nd.

MeasureTkachukVatrano
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals10
Assists10
Ice time per game21:4510:34
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3085 pct0.001 pct
Shot attempts per game4.088 pct0.01 pct
Goals above expected+0.170 pct0.067 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.9%59 pct—
Chances for per 602.1241 pct—
Chances against per 601.7474 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7897 pct−0.522 pct
Creates per 60+0.5795 pct+0.0139 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2186 pct−0.531 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →