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Matthew Tkachuk vs Ian Cole

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Matthew Tkachuk is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Matthew Tkachuk sits in the 87th percentile, Ian Cole the 3rd.

MeasureTkachukCole
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals10
Assists10
Ice time per game21:4516:03
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3085 pct0.016 pct
Shot attempts per game4.087 pct0.33 pct
Goals above expected+0.171 pct0.062 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.9%59 pct38.0%21 pct
Chances for per 602.1243 pct1.9737 pct
Chances against per 601.7474 pct3.2117 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7897 pct+0.1759 pct
Creates per 60+0.5795 pct+0.0242 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2186 pct+0.1579 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →