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Kirill Kaprizov vs Nathan MacKinnon

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 89th percentile, Kirill Kaprizov the 26th.

MeasureKaprizovMacKinnon
Scoring · NHL
Points35
Goals32
Assists03
Ice time per game19:5118:00
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6098 pct0.6498 pct
Shot attempts per game6.598 pct7.599 pct
Goals above expected+0.889 pct+0.786 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share50.7%48 pct63.4%82 pct
Chances for per 601.7626 pct3.4889 pct
Chances against per 601.7175 pct2.0161 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.8097 pct+1.2199 pct
Creates per 60+0.6798 pct+1.2599 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1272 pct−0.0335 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →