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Mitch Marner vs Mikko Rantanen

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mitch Marner is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Mitch Marner sits in the 69th percentile, Mikko Rantanen the 8th.

MeasureMarnerRantanen
Scoring · NHL
Points21
Goals10
Assists11
Ice time per game21:5323:03
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3387 pct0.3387 pct
Shot attempts per game3.783 pct4.087 pct
Goals above expected0.069 pct−0.78 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share67.7%89 pct42.4%30 pct
Chances for per 602.0138 pct1.9134 pct
Chances against per 600.9696 pct2.6036 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5489 pct+0.0747 pct
Creates per 60+0.3281 pct+0.1661 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2287 pct−0.0927 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →