Skip to content

Mitch Marner vs Frank Vatrano

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mitch Marner is ahead on 9 of 10 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Mitch Marner sits in the 88th percentile, Frank Vatrano the 2nd.

MeasureMarnerVatrano
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals10
Assists10
Ice time per game20:3310:34
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2884 pct0.001 pct
Shot attempts per game3.377 pct0.01 pct
Goals above expected−0.143 pct0.064 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share56.6%66 pct—
Chances for per 602.0339 pct—
Chances against per 601.5685 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5088 pct−0.522 pct
Creates per 60+0.3181 pct+0.0139 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1982 pct−0.531 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 550 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →