Mitch Marner vs John Tavares
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Golden Knights · RMitch MarnerChange first player
Golden Knights skaters
- Tomas Hertl
- Brett Howden
- Mitch Marner
- William Karlsson
- Trevor Connelly
- Victor Olofsson
- Jack Eichel
- Braeden Bowman
- Mark Stone
- Marc Gatcomb
- Noah Hanifin
- Shea Theodore
- Rasmus Andersson
- Ivan Barbashev
- Nic Dowd
- Jeremy Lauzon
- Brayden McNabb
- Parker Wotherspoon
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Maple Leafs · CJohn TavaresChange second player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Darren Raddysh
- Morgan Rielly
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Brandon Duhaime
- Teddy Blueger
- Jake McCabe
- Troy Stecher
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Mitch Marner is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Mitch Marner sits in the 96th percentile, John Tavares the 5th.
| Measure | Marner | Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 3 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 21:53 | 17:36 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3388 pct | 0.4695 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.785 pct | 4.893 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.066 pct | −0.87 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 67.7%90 pct | 35.9%17 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.0138 pct | 2.2445 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 0.9696 pct | 3.995 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5489 pct | +0.3172 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.3281 pct | +0.3078 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2287 pct | +0.0145 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →