Brandon Carlo vs David Pastrnak
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Blues · DBrandon CarloChange first player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Connor McMichael
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Adam Jiricek
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Robert Thomas
- Jonatan Berggren
- Philip Broberg
- Colton Parayko
- Jake Neighbours
- Pius Suter
- Ross Johnston
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Tommy Novak
- Wyatt Johnston
Another club (its chance leader)
Bruins · RDavid PastrnakChange second player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Tommy Novak
- Wyatt Johnston
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
David Pastrnak is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: David Pastrnak sits in the 99th percentile, Brandon Carlo the 6th.
| Measure | Carlo | Pastrnak |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 17:00 | 20:25 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.029 pct | 0.3288 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.326 pct | 5.395 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.156 pct | −1.32 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 63.5%84 pct | 61.1%77 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.2384 pct | 2.8871 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.8670 pct | 1.8372 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.2117 pct | +0.8198 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.296 pct | +0.8599 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0964 pct | −0.0434 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 550 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →