Brandon Carlo vs Nate Schmidt
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Blues · DBrandon CarloChange first player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Adam Jiricek
- Jonatan Berggren
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Jake Neighbours
- Philip Broberg
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Connor McMichael
- Colton Parayko
- Robert Thomas
- Pius Suter
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Ross Johnston
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Mammoth · DNate SchmidtChange second player
Mammoth skaters
- Nick Schmaltz
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- Anders Lee
- Michael Carcone
- Lawson Crouse
- Logan Cooley
- Barrett Hayton
- Jack McBain
- Daniil But
- Vincent Trocheck
- Mikhail Sergachev
- Andrew Peeke
- MacKenzie Weegar
- Nate Schmidt
- Dmitri Simashev
- John Marino
- Kevin Stenlund
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nate Schmidt is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Nate Schmidt sits in the 84th percentile, Brandon Carlo the 13th.
| Measure | Carlo | Schmidt |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 16:32 | 21:03 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.018 pct | 0.0528 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 1.738 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.060 pct | −0.239 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 55.9%61 pct | 62.4%79 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.6993 pct | 2.5958 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.9123 pct | 1.5684 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.2613 pct | +0.4584 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.305 pct | +0.1458 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0452 pct | +0.3194 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →