Brandon Carlo vs Tom Wilson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Blues · DBrandon CarloChange first player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Adam Jiricek
- Jonatan Berggren
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Jake Neighbours
- Philip Broberg
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Connor McMichael
- Colton Parayko
- Robert Thomas
- Pius Suter
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Ross Johnston
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Capitals · RTom WilsonChange second player
Capitals skaters
- Alex Tuch
- Dylan Strome
- Ryan Leonard
- Jakob Chychrun
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Aliaksei Protas
- Boone Jenner
- Martin Fehérváry
- Matt Roy
- Jordan Kyrou
- Justin Sourdif
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Alex Ovechkin
- Timothy Liljegren
- Vincent Desharnais
- Ilya Protas
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Tom Wilson is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Tom Wilson sits in the 91st percentile, Brandon Carlo the 13th.
| Measure | Carlo | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 16:32 | 17:13 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.019 pct | 0.1455 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.018 pct | 1.533 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.061 pct | −0.326 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 55.9%62 pct | 45.4%36 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.6992 pct | 2.2447 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.9124 pct | 2.7034 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.2613 pct | +0.5991 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.305 pct | +0.3180 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0452 pct | +0.2892 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →