Brandon Carlo vs Morgan Rielly
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Blues · DBrandon CarloChange first player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Adam Jiricek
- Jonatan Berggren
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Jake Neighbours
- Philip Broberg
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Connor McMichael
- Colton Parayko
- Robert Thomas
- Pius Suter
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Ross Johnston
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Maple Leafs · DMorgan RiellyChange second player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Darren Raddysh
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Teddy Blueger
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Morgan Rielly
- Jake McCabe
- Brandon Duhaime
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Troy Stecher
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brandon Carlo and Morgan Rielly split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is prevents per 60: Brandon Carlo sits in the 52nd percentile, Morgan Rielly the 3rd.
| Measure | Carlo | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 16:32 | 19:54 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.018 pct | 0.0420 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 1.017 pct | 1.326 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.060 pct | −0.145 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 55.9%61 pct | 40.3%25 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.6993 pct | 2.6059 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.9123 pct | 3.857 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.2613 pct | −0.2811 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.305 pct | +0.0747 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0452 pct | −0.353 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →