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Tommy Novak vs Matthew Schaefer

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tommy Novak and Matthew Schaefer split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is goals above expected: Tommy Novak sits in the 97th percentile, Matthew Schaefer the 29th.

MeasureNovakSchaefer
Scoring · NHL
Points42
Goals20
Assists22
Ice time per game15:1924:10
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1968 pct0.1352 pct
Shot attempts per game2.047 pct5.093 pct
Goals above expected+1.497 pct−0.329 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share45.9%36 pct58.7%67 pct
Chances for per 602.0238 pct2.4855 pct
Chances against per 602.3845 pct1.7574 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7095 pct+0.4685 pct
Creates per 60+0.6597 pct+0.3382 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0555 pct+0.1373 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →