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Tommy Novak vs Zach Metsa

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tommy Novak is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Tommy Novak sits in the 94th percentile, Zach Metsa the 1st.

MeasureNovakMetsa
Scoring · NHL
Points51
Goals30
Assists21
Ice time per game15:1910:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4294 pct0.001 pct
Shot attempts per game2.562 pct0.01 pct
Goals above expected+1.396 pct0.064 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share55.3%62 pct51.1%49 pct
Chances for per 602.6863 pct2.6963 pct
Chances against per 602.1656 pct2.5838 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7597 pct−0.0727 pct
Creates per 60+0.6898 pct−0.1519 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0861 pct+0.0758 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →